An email we received from our client, Randy M. from Utah last week reflects the sentiments of many right now.
He wrote:“I have been reluctant (scared) to move forward since last Wednesday when I got my February IRA statement in the mail. It showed that my IRA balance had dropped to $309,000 and that every day last week the market continued to drop. This certainly would have been easier a year ago when my IRA balance was close to $450,000. Do you have any advice? I keep thinking that this market is going to turn around, and that I will recover some of these losses, but it only seems to be getting worse.”
Surely we must be close to the bottom – is the view of many investors and understandable they are reluctant to sell their stock portfolio at the bottom. The investment manager for Yale’s endowment was quoted on NPR just the other day as saying “buying at the top and selling at the bottom is a tough way to make money”. There is a huge media drive at the moment, in large part politically driven, to persuade investors to not only NOT sell equities into the falling stock market, but to buy – claiming now to be a terrific time to get in at a bargain price. The incentive behind this media push is most likely an effort to try to stop the free fall and restore some confidence in Wall Street to the American public. But wait a minute…..where are the housing lobbyists? If it’s such a great time to buy into the stock market, would now not also be a good time to buy real estate? After all history demonstrates that stocks and real estate tend to rise and fall together.
Now, back to the email received from our client. The question I have for him is this. What was the value of the real estate a year ago that you would like to buy today? Has that real estate depreciated over the past twelve months, just as your IRA value has?
This particular gentleman has his eye on a home currently priced at $250,000. A year ago its market value would have been at least $330,000. He could buy it today for $80,000 less than he would have paid for it a year ago. So this is where there has to be some soul searching. Why does this client want the real estate? Will it be a home for him and his family, or will it generate rental income for additional cash flow? If he were able to remove the fear and regret of realizing stock market losses and look at the situation objectively he would have to admit that today is just as good a time to commit his IRA assets to supporting the purchase of real estate as it would have been one year ago, if not perhaps better. Why better today than a year ago? Because he can buy the real estate for substantially less and because of this he stands to benefit from a higher likelihood of future appreciation in the home’s value and he benefits from mortgage interest rates at an historic low.
OK, that all sounds good, so instead of waiting it out in the stock market, hoping the value of his IRA will recover at some point in the future, (read our Feb 6th post “How Many Years to Recover Your Diminished IRA Value?), he transfers his investment into real estate with the expectation that he will eventually recover his stock market losses with the appreciation gained from the real estate while at the same time benefiting from the intrinsic value of occupancy or from rental income – case closed.
Not entirely case closed! Those of you who have benefited from a consultation with Mr. Uranga will understand the OUTSIDE® method does not utilize the cash value of the IRA all at once for the real estate purchase. Instead, the IRA monies are placed in SAFE HARBOR® while they are supporting the purchase of the real estate over a period of time. So picture if you will, you now own two assets, the real estate and the IRA, independent from one another but at the same time mutually supporting.
Since the real estate is purchased with borrowed money, (a mortgage), supported by the SAFE HARBOR® IRA the potential return on investment is far greater than where the investment is purchased with 100% cash as is usually the case with equities. Not only can you benefit from the advantage of cash-on-cash returns, from the real estate but at the same time you are earning interest in your SAFE HARBOR® IRA account. For those of you who are reticent to realize your stock market losses take heart in understanding that one of the SAFE HARBOR® custodian choices offers several account strategies which allow you to earn interest credits that are linked to the performance of several different indexes allowing you to benefit from positive market performance while the principal balance of your IRA is protected from potential market losses. So, if you really want that real estate but at the same time are bullish on the market and having a hard time deciding which way to go, the OUTSIDE® program offers you the best of both worlds. Your IRA can have the opportunity for upside potential linked to a specific index or combination of indexes with built-in downside protection while at the same time you can benefit from owing real estate to either enjoy as a home or to generate income as well as have the potential for capital appreciation over the time you own it.
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